If There's A Major Foreign Policy Event,

Distinguishing The Signal From The Noise Requires Both Scientific Knowledge And Self-knowledge: The Serenity To Accept The Things We Cannot Predict, The Courage To Predict The Things We Can, And The Wisdom To Know The Difference.

A Lot Of Things Can't Be Modeled Very Well.

I Don't Play Fantasy Baseball Anymore Now Because It's Too Much Work, And I Feel Like I Have To Hold Myself Up To Such A High Standard. I'm Pretty Serious About My Fantasy Football, Though.

I Love South American Food, And I Haven't Really Been Down There. I Really Need A Vacation.

I Think There's Space In The Market For A Half-dozen Kind Of Polling Analysts.