I've Just Always Been A Bit Of

We Need To Stop, And Admit It: We Have A Prediction Problem. We Love To Predict Things—and We Aren’t Very Good At It.

There's Always The Risk That There Are Unknown Unknowns.

Distinguishing The Signal From The Noise Requires Both Scientific Knowledge And Self-knowledge: The Serenity To Accept The Things We Cannot Predict, The Courage To Predict The Things We Can, And The Wisdom To Know The Difference.

The Signal Is The Truth. The Noise Is What Distracts Us From The Truth.

We're Not That Much Smarter Than We Used To Be, Even Though We Have Much More Information - And That Means The Real Skill Now Is Learning How To Pick Out The Useful Information From All This Noise.